PDD - Status of AMANDA
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4 Status of High Energy Neutrino Astronomy-
4.1 Status of AMANDA
- 4.1.1 Atmospheric Neutrinos
- 4.1.2 Pointing Resolution
- 4.1.3 Search for a diffuse high energy neutrino
- 4.1.4 Point Sources
- 4.1.5 Gamma-Ray Bursts
- 4.1.6 WIMPs
- 4.1.7 Supernovae
- 4.1.8 Magnetic Monopoles
- 4.1.9 Summary of AMANDA Status
4.1 Status of AMANDA
The AMANDA-B10 results presented below provide a proof-of-concept for a high energy neutrino telescope at the South Pole. We focus first on the detection of neutrinos and compare them to the predicted flux of atmospheric neutrinos. Possible backgrounds will be discussed. We then apply the results to the search for high energy neutrinos of astrophysical origin, such as a diffuse flux of HE neutrinos, point-like sources and gamma-ray bursts.
It is important to note that due to its size and shape, AMANDA-B10 is not highly sensitive to high energy neutrino fluxes expected from sources such as AGN and GRBs. The much larger AMANDA-II detector has significantly more sensitivity, and data from this device is currently being analyzed. However, only with IceCube will the sensitivity levels be high enough to reach predicted high energy neutrino flux levels.
4.1.1 Atmospheric Neutrinos
The results presented here are based on data taken during the austral winter of 1997. The effective livetime has been determined to be 130.1 days for the selected data. The method of calibration and the characteristics of the optical sensors are very similar to the 4 string prototype array described in ref. [53]. Simulations predict a rate of a few tens of events per day from atmospheric neutrinos above a threshold of 30-50 GeV, compared to 6 · 106 events from cosmic ray muons, as shown in fig. 6.
The analysis of the atmospheric neutrino sample with the AMANDA-B10 array has been performed independently by two working groups in the collaboration. Both groups come to very similar and statistically consistent results while the methods are quite different and partially independent. The figures and the method presented here are based on one analysis [56].
Neutrinos are identified by looking for upward going muons. We use a maximum likelihood method [57], incorporating a detailed description of the scattering and absorption of photons in the ice, to reconstruct muon tracks from the measured photon arrival times. Events are reconstructed with a Bayesian method [58], in which the likelihood function is multiplied by a prior probability function. The prior function contains the zenith angle information in fig. 6. By accounting in the reconstruction for the fact that the flux of downgoing muons from cosmic rays is more than 5 orders of magnitude larger than that of upgoing neutrino-induced muons, the number of downgoing muons that are misreconstructed as upgoing is greatly reduced. A small

- Figure 6: Left: The zenith angle distribution of AMANDA triggers. The solid line represents triggers from downgoing cosmic ray muons. The dashed line shows triggers produced by atmospheric neutrinos. Right: The zenith angle distribution of upward reconstructed events. The size of the hatched boxes indicates the statistical precision of the atmospheric neutrino simulation.

- Figure 7: Event quality. Left: Passing rates of events above a certain quality level is shown for background MC, atmospheric neutrino MC and experimental data. Right: Differential presentation of the ratio data/MC.
fraction of the downgoing muons (5 · 10-6) are reconstructed as upward and form a background to the neutrino-induced events. This background is removed by applying quality criteria to the time profiles of the observed photons as well as to their spatial distribution in the array. A measure of the event quality has been defined by combining six quality variables into a single parameter. A high event quality is reached when the values of all six parameters agree with the characteristics of a correctly reconstructed muon track. By making increasingly stringent cuts on the event quality the background of a total of 1:2 · 109 events is reduced by a factor of approximately 108, while retaining about 5% of the neutrino signal. The distribution of the single quality parameter for experimental data and for a Monte Carlo simulation of atmospheric neutrinos is shown in fig. 7. It compares the number of events passing various levels of cuts; i.e., the integral number of events above a given quality. At low qualities, the data set is dominated by misreconstructed downgoing muons, most of which are reproduced in the Monte Carlo. At higher cut levels, the passing rates of data closely track the simulated neutrino events, and the predicted background contamination is very low.

- Figure 8: Neutrino sky of upgoing events as seen with AMANDA-B10. The background of non neutrino events is estimated to less than 10%.
| Experimental Data | MC: Atmospheric Neutrinos | |
|---|---|---|
| Triggered | 1.2 · 109 | 4600 |
| Reconstructed upward | 5 · 103 | 571 |
| Upward going | 204 | 279 |
Table 1: Event numbers are given at various cutlevels: Experimental data and atmnospheric neutrino Monte Carlo.
We can investigate the agreement between data and Monte Carlo more systematically by comparing the differential number of events, rather than the total number of events passing various levels of cuts. This is done in fig. 7 (right), where the ratios of the number of events observed to those predicted from the combined signal and background simulations are shown. One can see that at low quality levels there is an excess in the number of misreconstructed events observed. This is mainly due to instrumental effects such as cross talk which are not well described in the detector Monte Carlo. There is also an excess, though statistically less significant, at very high quality levels, which is caused by slight inaccuracies in the description of the optical parameters of the ice. Nevertheless, over the bulk of the range there is close agreement between the data and the simulations, apart from an overall normalization factor. In the range where the line is shown the ratio of Data/MC is about 0.6. Counting all events above the quality cut (7.0) this ratio is 0.70. It should be emphasized that the quality parameter is a combination of all six quality parameters, and so the flat line in fig. 7 demonstrates agreement not only in individual cut parameters but also quantitative agreement in the correlations between cut parameters.
The zenith angle distribution for the 204 events is shown in fig. 6, and compared to that for the signal simulation. In the figure the Monte Carlo events were normalized to the observed events. The achieved agreement in the absolute flux of atmospheric neutrinos is consistent with the systematic uncertainties of the absolute sensitivity and the flux of high energy atmospheric neutrinos. The shape of the zenith distribution of data is statistically consistent with the prediction from atmospheric neutrinos. The zenith distribution reflects the angular acceptance of the narrow but tall detector. A skyplot of these events is shown in fig. 8. 223 events were found in an independent analysis. The overlap of 119 events with the sample presented here is within expectations. The observation of atmospheric neutrinos at a rate consistent with Monte Carlo prediction establishes AMANDA-B10 as a neutrino telescope.
4.1.2 Pointing Resolution
In order to establish AMANDA as a neutrino telescope, one more step is needed. That is the verification that AMANDA does indeed reconstruct the direction of events correctly in sky coordinates. This is done by analyzing events that are measured coincidently by AMANDA in the deep ice and by surface air shower detectors. In the 1997 data set we have three independent detectors at the surface in operation: the SPASE-1 air shower array, the SPASE-2 array, and the GASP air cherenkov detector. All three experiments agree on the average absolute pointing of the AMANDA array to within 1–2 degrees (sky coordinates) [55]. A full agreement with the true direction is achieved in azimuth, and a small offest of order 1 degree is observed in the in the zenith angle (data and Monte Carlo). The offset is relatively small compared to the size of a search bin (∼ 5 degrees half angle) for point sources. These instruments were also used to verify the angular resolution (median angular error) of about 3 degrees.
The observation of atmospheric neutrinos together with the verification of the angular resolution establishes AMANDA as a functioning neutrino telescope. From here we search the neutrino sky for various sources. Depending on the type of the investigated neutrino signal hypothesis (diffuse flux, point sources, GRB, WIMPs, etc.), we re-optimize the background rejection strategy.
4.1.3 Search for a diffuse high energy neutrino
The search for a diffuse neutrino flux of astronomical origin follows naturally from the observation of a diffuse flux of neutrinos generated in the atmosphere. Neutrinos from generic astrophysical sources are expected to extend to higher energies while the energy spectrum of atmospheric neutrinos falls off steeply with increasing energy. A very simple and robust measure of the energy of the observed muons is the number of optical modules (OM) that observed at least one photoelectron in a given event. Figure 9 shows the energy distribution of events that pass the neutrino filter as predicted for a) atmospheric neutrinos and b) an assumed energy spectrum for astrophysical neutrinos following a power law of dN/dEν = 10-5Eν-2 cm-2 s-1 sr-1 GeV-1. When using the number of fired OMs as a measure of energy we obtain the distributions given in fig. 9. The assumed astronomical neutrino flux would generate a significant excess at high multiplicities of fired photomultipliers. A preliminary analysis does not show such an excess. This leads to a preliminary upper limit [65] (90%C.L.) of dN/dEν ∼ 10-6Eν-2cm-2 s-1 sr-1 GeV-1. However, the systematics of this analysis with respect to the high energy sensitivity is still subject to further investigation. A re-analysis with an updated version of the Monte Carlo simulation is underway.
This sensitivity on the diffuse neutrino flux is below previously stated upper limits by experiments such as BAIKAL [71], SPS-DUMAND [66], AMANDA-A [67], and FREJUS [68], and comparable to a limit presented by BAIKAL [75].
It is comparable to the AGN prediction by Salamon and Stecker [63] and approaches the prediction of Protheroe [69].
4.1.4 Point Sources
The search for point sources allows us to measure the background off-source. Searches have been performed for specific point sources as well as all sky searches. The median angular resolution of the AMANDA-B10 array is 3 degrees. Thus, one hemisphere consists of 319 bins. Again the search strategy is optimized for the expected energy spectrum. The size of the search bins, the effective area and the livetime of the array enter the calculation of a neutrino flux limit. In absence of a signal we calculate upper limits to a neutrino flux from point sources. The preliminary average neutrino flux limits are at a level of dN/dEν ∼ 10-6Eν-2cm-2 s-1GeV-1.

- Figure 9: Left: Monte Carlo simulation of the energy spectrum of atmospheric neutrinos shown in the skyplot in fig. 8. Also shown is the energy spectrum of neutrinos generated by a neutrino flux of a Eν-2-type energy spectrum (see text).

- Figure 10: Predictions of high energy νμ + νμ fluxes from astrophysical sources are shown. Also shown are the preliminary average upper limit as obtained with AMANDA-B10 (3), as well as the sensitivity of the proposed IceCube array after three years of operation. The atmospheric neutrino flux [59] in 2 × 2 degree bin is given as reference: (1) horizontal, (2) vertical. Models: (4) 3C273 pp neutrinos [60], (5) Crab Nebula [61], (6) Coma Cluster [62], (7) 3C273 pγ neutrinos [63], (8) Supernova IC443 [64].
The limit in case of Mrk501 is of particular interest. Here our neutrino flux limit is only about a factor of 10 above the gamma emission of this blazar, during its high state in 1997. The sensitivity of the AMANDA array is thus beginning to approach observed fluxes of gamma rays.
Figure 10 shows the expected neutrino fluxes from various sources, together with the current preliminary AMANDA upper limit (90% C.L.). The atmospheric neutrino background is given for a 2 × 2 degree bin. Detailed simulations have been performed of IceCube, the proposed kmscale neutrino array. The achievable upper limit for an assumed E-2-type spectrum for point sources is indicated in the figure.
4.1.5 Gamma-Ray Bursts
According to the relativistic fireball model, gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) are expected to be astrophysical sources of high energy neutrinos. The expected neutrino event rate in AMANDA has been determined from a full MC simulation of the GRB signal and the detector. GRB neutrinos are generated following a broken power law energy-spectrum [78]. Figure 11 shows the energy spectrum of Monte Carlo events that triggered events in the AMANDA array. The search strategy has been optimized for this hypothetical signal. The number of expected events depends strongly on the assumed Lorentz factor. This scenario predicts event rates ranging from 10-4 events (Γ = 1000) to 1 event (Γ = 100) for the given data sample.

- Figure 11: The energy spectrum of a neutrino flux as expected from gamma ray bursts triggered by AMANDA (Monte Carlo simulation).
With ∼ 1/3 sky coverage, the BATSE satellite instrument detected 304 gamma-ray bursts in 1997. AMANDA data for 78 gamma-ray northern hemisphere bursts detected on-board the BATSE satellite were examined for coincident neutrino emission. Because the time window of coincidence is rather short, typically of order 10 seconds per burst, there is very little background from cosmic rays and atmospheric neutrinos. No excess of neutrinos has been found above a background of 17.2 events for all 78 bursts.
4.1.6 WIMPs
AMANDA can be used to search for non-baryonic dark matter in the form of weakly interacting massive particles (WIMPs). The non observation of an excess of vertically upgoing muons has been used to set a limit on the flux of neutrinos from WIMP annihilations in the center of the Earth [79]. With only 132 days of exposure in 1997, AMANDA has reached a sensitivity in the region of high WIMP masses (≥ 500 GeV) that begins to constrain the theoretically allowed parameter space. It is comparable in sensitivity to other detectors with much longer livetimes. Figure 12 shows the present AMANDA limit after 132 days observation time in comparison with the limits obtained from long-year exposure of MACRO, Baksan and SuperK [80]. Note that the AMANDA limit is determined including (currently) large systematic uncertainties (the other experiments did not include their comparatively small uncertainties).

- Figure 12: Upper limits on the flux of upgoing muons from WIMP annihilation in the Earth obtained in AMANDA, Baksan, Macro, Super-K and and Baikal (normalized to 1 GeV threshold). (Note: The Baikal limit is a muon flux limit from the center of the Earth, without MSSM model assumptions.)
4.1.7 Supernovae
By monitoring bursts of low energy neutrinos AMANDA can be used to detect the gravitational collapse of supernovae in the galaxy. This method takes advantage of the low noise characteristics (300–1500 Hz/PMT) of the optical sensors in the deep ice.
Figure 13 shows, for 215 days of live time in 1997/98 and all stable AMANDA-B10 PMTs, the distribution of the deviation Δμ of the average noise rate from its mean value. Each data point is the average over a 10 s interval. Accepting every 10 s interval with Δμ > 4 Hz (see the vertical line) as a supernova event, would result in one fake alarm per year. This corresponds to a 90% efficiency for a SN-1987A-like supernova event loacted at a distance of 9.8 kpc (the distance to center of Galaxy is about 8 kpc). A robust on-line monitor could be operated with a slightly higher threshold covering about 70% of the Galaxy. With AMANDA-II and an improved supression of non-Poissonian noise we will monitor more than 90% of the Galaxy.

- Figure 13: Distribution of the deviation Δμ of the average noise rate from its mean value, for 215 days of live time. The vertical line is set at the level where we get a rate of one background event per year. 90% of the supernova neutrino bursts located at 9.8 kpc distance would be seen above that cut.
4.1.8 Magnetic Monopoles
A magnetic monopole with unit magnetic Dirac charge and a velocity of β close to 1 would emit Cherenkov light along its path, exceeding that of of a bare relativistic muon by a factor of 8300. From the non-observation of events with this clear signature, a limit of 0.62·10-16cm-2s-1sr-1 for highly relativistic monopoles has been derived. This limit, illustrated in fig. 53, is a factor of 20 below the Parker bound and a factor of four below other best limits.
4.1.9 Summary of AMANDA Status
The detection of atmospheric neutrinos in agreement with expectation and the calibration of downgoing muons with surface detectors establish AMANDA-B10 as a neutrino telescope. Since February 2000, the significantly larger and improved AMANDA-II array has been collecting data. Its effective area for high energy neutrinos is about three times that of the AMANDA-B10 array. At the same time improved angular resolution and background rejection potential are available. The analysis of these data is under way and will improve the given results significantly.


